MacroBay

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MacroBay is a desktop intelligence desk for crypto. One screen holds what actually moves the market — perpetual funding and positioning, stablecoin supply and ETF flows, risk appetite, cross-asset moves, and the macro prints that reprice everything. The analyst agent reads the same evidence and explains what changed, with the source and the cutoff time attached to every number.

A claim that cannot be traced to a source record and a timestamp is supposed to be reported as a gap. That is the whole product: not a paragraph you have to take on faith.

The daily briefing

One page a morning, about three minutes: what the market is pricing, what changed overnight, and what to watch today. Every number carries its source and its cutoff time, so you can check it yourself — and whatever could not be collected is reported as a gap instead of being quietly filled in.

Why you can trust it

• Every number points back. A claim carries its source record and the cutoff it was read at, so you can go and check it instead of taking the paragraph on faith.
• A gap is reported as a gap. What could not be collected is named and grouped, never filled with a neutral value that reads like data.
• The data lands before the analysis. Sources are collected into a local store, frozen into a snapshot, and only that snapshot is analysed — so a conclusion has a record behind it, and the numbers stay on your machine.

Download

macOS · Apple Silicon (.dmg) · macOS · Intel (.dmg) · Windows · x64 (.exe) · All releases

This build is not code-signed and not notarized, so the first launch takes two steps:

1. macOS — drag the app into Applications, then right-click (Control-click) the app → Open and confirm Open in the dialog. Double-clicking is blocked by Gatekeeper. If macOS still refuses, run xattr -dr com.apple.quarantine /Applications/MacroBay.app in Terminal and open it again.
2. Windows — run the installer. When SmartScreen says Windows protected your PC, click More info → Run anyway.

Every update you download repeats those same two steps, until a signed build ships.

The Intel build is MacroBay-x64.dmg: built, but not yet verified on Intel hardware. The Apple Silicon download link above is unchanged, and latest-mac.yml is produced only by the arm64 job.

⭐ If this is useful to you, a star keeps it going

One person builds MacroBay, in the open. A star is the only signal I can see that someone is actually using it — and it decides whether the next person who needs this ever finds it.

→ Star the repo · it takes two seconds.

Built for people whose read has to survive a follow-up question — whether that is your first cycle or your fourth.

Who it is for

• Trading for a living → — one screen instead of five, and a conclusion that survives "how do you know?".
• Still learning the market → — the same screen, except it explains the plumbing while you read it.

Why crypto first

Crypto is the hardest place to fake a market read, which makes it the right place to build one.

• The market never closes. Funding flips at 00:00 UTC, a listing lands at 3am, CPI prints mid-session. There is no closing bell that consolidates the story, so the timestamp and the source are the analysis.
• The signal is scattered. Exchange announcements and API changes, status incidents, stablecoin supply, ETF flows, funding, sentiment, macro releases — no single feed tells you what changed.
• Revisions are quiet. A number you read yesterday may be restated today. A tool that overwrites the old reading removes the only way to learn from being wrong.

So the desk is built around three habits: read the whole picture on one screen, keep the observation time on every reading, and make the AI show its work.

What's on the desk

The desk is where a briefing's evidence lives. Open any claim on the page and you land here: the same reading, its window, its source and its cutoff — plus the panels the brief draws from.

• Funding and positioning. BTC and ETH perpetual funding, who pays whom, and the history behind today's print instead of a single number.
• Capital and flows. Stablecoin supply and ETF net flows — the liquidity that has to be somewhere.
• Risk appetite. The Fear & Greed index read as evidence, with its observation time and bucket, not as a verdict.
• Cross-asset, one scale. DXY, gold, QQQ, US10Y, BTC and ETH normalized on a single chart.
• A calendar that does not rewrite history. Scheduled, observed, and later-revised values are separate records — FOMC, CPI, PCE and payrolls with their official release values.
• Venue and chain events. Binance and OKX announcements and API changes, plus Coinbase, Kraken and Solana status.
• An analyst with a visible trace. It reads the same evidence, separates facts from assumptions, asks a structured question when a choice changes the answer, and shows the tools it ran.

Reading it teaches you the market

Most crypto tools assume you already know why funding matters. Here the explanation sits next to the number: the key readings carry a plain-language note about what they mean, and every conclusion spells out the causal chain, the conditions that would break it, and the gaps.

That is the part a newcomer usually has to assemble from ten threads and a group chat: what moved price, through which channel, and what would prove it wrong. Read a few of those and the market stops being a black box — you are no longer memorising indicators, you are watching cause and effect with the receipts attached. One reading gives you a number; the next tells you the channel it works through — after a few, you can explain the move yourself.

It is not a course, and it is not advice. It is a desk that lays out its reasoning every time you open it.

How a complete answer looks

Every analysis separates five things, or it is incomplete:

A later revision is not folded back into an earlier answer. Reading the market at 09:00 and reading it at 21:00 should produce two different, defensible answers — not one answer silently rewritten.

What it is not

• Not a signal service. No buy or sell calls, no return promises, no "alpha" for sale.
• Not a charting or entry-timing tool. No candles, no price targets, no buy/sell levels, no chip distribution, no order flow. It does not replace the chart you already read — it tells you what happened behind it.
• Not a trading bot. No order execution, no position management, no brokerage connection.
• Not a hosted account. No MacroBay server holds your data or your keys; there is nothing to sign up for and nothing to cancel.
• Not a data bundle. No bundled feeds and no bundled credentials — you enable the sources you have ac